Spring 2020: STA 4322 / 5328

Lecture: 3:00pm - 3:50pm on Monday, Wednesday, and Friday in FLO 0100
Instructor: Aaron Molstad (amolstad@ufl.edu), 202 Griffin-Floyd
Office hours: Monday, Wednesday, Friday from 4:00pm - 5:30pm on Zoom
Teaching assistant: Yanxi Liu (liuyanxi@ufl.edu), 234 Griffin-Floyd
TA office hours: Wednesday 12:55 - 2:55pm
Syllabus: [html][pdf]
Note that you must be logged into your UFL eLearning account to access course notes. WMS denotes the course textbook.


  Lecture   Topics (suggested reading from WMS)  
  1 (1/6)   Syllabus, course overview, “estimators” (8.1) [pdf]  
  2 (1/8)   Bias, mean squared error (8.2) [pdf]  
  3 (1/10)   Unbiased estimation of variance (8.3) [pdf]  
  4 (1/13)   Order statistics, difference of population means (6.7, 8.8) [pdf][solution]  
  5 (1/15)   Distribution of sample mean, t-distribution (7.2) [pdf]  
  6 (1/17)   Error probabilities for estimators (8.5) [pdf]  

Homework 1 (due Wednesday, January 22nd): [pdf][solution]


  7 (1/22)   Confidence intervals (8.5) [pdf]  
  8 (1/24)   Upper and lower confidence limits, examples (8.5) [pdf]  
  9 (1/27)   Central limit theorem, large sample confidence intervals (7.3,8.6) [pdf]  

Homework 2 (due Friday, January 31st): [pdf][solutions]


  10 (1/29)   Confidence intervals for variance, relative efficiency (8.9, 9.2) [pdf]  
  11 (1/31)   Consistent estimators (9.3) [pdf]  
  12 (2/3)   Sufficiency (9.4) [pdf]  

Homework 3 (due Friday, February 7th): [pdf][solutions]
Exam 1 (Wednesday, February 12th, RNK 0110, 8:20 - 10:10pm) [solutions][scores]
Exam 1 Review [practice exam][practice exam solutions][complete lectures]


  13.1 (2/5)   Sufficiency, Likelihoods (9.4, 9.5) [pdf]  
  13.2 (2/7)   Rao-Blackwell (9.5)  
  00 (2/10)   Exam #1 review  
  13.3 (2/14)   Sufficiency, Likelihoods, MVUEs (9.4, 9.5)  
  14 (2/17)   Method of moments [pdf]  
  15.1 (2/19)   Maximum likelihood estimation (9.7) [pdf]  
  15.2 (2/21)   Maximum likelihood estimation (9.7)  

Homework 4 (due Friday, February 21st): [pdf][solutions]


  16.1 (2/24)   Maximum likelihood with two unknowns (9.7)[pdf]  
  16.2 (2/26)   Maximum likelihood with two unknowns (9.7)  
  17 (2/28)   Review of estimators [pdf]  

Homework 5 (due Monday, March 9th): [pdf][solutions]


  18.1 (3/11)   Test statistics, rejection regions (10.2) [pdf]  
  18.2 (3/13)   Level, power, large sample approximations [lecture] (10.2, 10.3)  
  19 (3/16)   Large sample approximations (10.3) [pdf][lecture]  
  20 (3/18)   Type II error probabilities, computing sample sizes (10.4) [pdf][lecture]  
  00 (3/20)   Exam #2 review [lecture]  

Homework 6 (due Wednesday, March 18th): [pdf][solutions]
Exam 2 (Monday, March 23rd, on Canvas, 8:20 - 10:10pm)
Exam 2 Review [practice exam][practice exam solutions][complete lectures][exam solutions]


  21.1 (3/25)   Confidence intervals, exact tests for means (10.5) [pdf][lecture]  
  21.2 (3/27)   Exact tests for mean differences, variance (10.8, 10.9) [lecture]  

Homework 7 (due Friday, April 3rd): [pdf][solutions]


  22.1 (3/30)   p-values (10.6) [pdf][lecture]  
  22.2 (4/1)   Neyman-Pearson lemma (10.10) [lecture]  
  23.1 (4/3)   Likelihood ratio tests (10.11) [pdf][lecture]  
  23.2 (4/6)   Likelihood ratio tests continued (10.11) [lecture]  
  23.3 (4/8)   Wilks’ theorem (10.11) [lecture]  
  24 (4/10)   Review of uniformly most powerful tests [pdf][lecture]  
  25 (4/13)   Review of exact vs approximate tests [pdf][lecture]  
  26 (4/15)   Review of likelihood ratio tests [pdf][lecture]  

Homework 8 (due Monday, April 13th): [pdf][solutions]
Homework 9 (due Friday, April 17th): [pdf][solutions]
Exam 3 (Tuesday, April 21st, on Canvas, 8:20 - 10:10pm)
Exam 3 Review [practice exam][practice exam solutions][complete lectures][review problems][review problem solutions]